If you didn’t already know before the last couple of weeks that the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars are in very different places, the two teams’ activities around the 2026 NFL trade deadline confirmed it. The Titans traded their two best defensive players for future draft picks. The Jaguars traded future draft picks for three players to solidify their defense.
The Titans are 10.5-point home underdogs in this game. As I have said many times this year, that number doesn’t feel high enough. This feels like a name-your-number type of game for Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville offense. They are 4th in the league in points per game at 28.6. The Titans defense ranks 22nd, allowing 24.9 points per game.
For the Titans offense, the most important thing here is to see Cam Ward build on his performance against the Cincinnati Bengals two weeks ago. You should not expect him to throw for 300 yards again; he has only done that once in his career, but he should be able to be in command of the offense. Brian Daboll pushed the right buttons in that Bengals game. This Jaguars defense is a tougher test, but they are middle of the road against the pass.
As much as it pains me to say it, I expect the Jaguars to win this game by at least two touchdowns. Their offense has been really clicking this season, with Lawrence playing the best football of his career. My hope is that the Titans will be able to do enough to make this game hit the over.
